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The Impact of an Inverted Yield Curve
The yield curve shows the difference in the short- and long-term interest rates of bonds and other fixed-income securities issued by the U.S. Treasury. An inverted yield curve occurs when short-term ...
In last week's commentary we spoke about the big bounce of the S&P 500 (SPY) that got us back in the mix of all the key trend lines (50/100/200 day moving averages). And likely we would be stuck in a ...
Weekly Treasury Simulation, January 9, 2026: 50,000 No-Arbitrage Heath-Jarrow-Morton Yield Scenarios
Explore Treasury yield forecasts: 3‑month bills likely 1%–2%, curve inversion odds, negative-rate risk, and default dangers ...
Inverted yield curves happen when bonds with shorter maturity periods have higher yields than bonds with longer maturity periods. Under normal circumstances, it’s the other way around. Since ...
The spread between the yields on two key U.S. long-term bonds hit a 101 basis points on Thursday, marking its steepest curve sine 2021 and signifying investor expectations for economic growth but also ...
*Bull steepener, bull flattener, bear steepener, bear flattener: defined. *The slope of the yield curve holds various implications for the stock market. *Equity investors aren't seeing a threat from ...
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