Weekly Treasury Simulation, January 9, 2026: 50,000 No-Arbitrage Heath-Jarrow-Morton Yield Scenarios
Explore Treasury yield forecasts: 3‑month bills likely 1%–2%, curve inversion odds, negative-rate risk, and default dangers ...
The 2-year and 10-year Treasury yields inverted for the first time since 2019 on Thursday, sending a possible warning signal that a recession could be on the horizon. The bond market phenomenon means ...
Learn how understanding the bond yield curve's signals can inform economic forecasts and enhance your investment decisions ...
Treasury yields were climbing on Friday, one day after the 10-year note yield settled at its lowest level since early April, FactSet data showed. The Treasury yield curve — the difference between ...
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Treasury Yields Fall Amid Risk-Off Mood
1550 ET – Treasury yields recover from early lows but not enough to avoid a second consecutive daily decline, as markets worry about lofty stock valuations and the path of interest rates. Delayed ...
The 10-year yield is often used as a stand-in for mortgage rates and also shows how investors feel about the economy’s future ...
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1556 ET – The Treasury yield curve flattened a bit to start the week as the 10-year Treasury yield fell by about 3 basis points, while the 2-year yield ticked lower by less than 1. Futures-market bets ...
Once banks become incentivized to boost loans, household and business spending will likely support higher inflation, said economist Steven Blitz of GlobalData TS Lombard Wall Street investors cheered ...
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Treasury Yields End Higher
1544 ET – Investors sold off Treasurys, sending U.S. government yields higher, as Congress moves toward passing a deal that would end the federal shutdown. The deal removes some of the risk that the ...
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